Mogi Mirim vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MOG
0 - 2
GDS
69%
17%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
IND
2 - 1
MOG
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MOG
0 - 0
ITA
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
MOG
1 - 0
RIO
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
MOG
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
GDS
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
MOG
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |