Mogi Mirim vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ABC
3 - 1
MOG
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 1
PAY
27%
26%
46%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
MOG
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 2
CEA
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
MOG
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 3
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
OES
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 2
SAN
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
CRI
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |