Mogi Mirim vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
6 - 0
MOG
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 4
MOG
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 1
CAP
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 3
AGU
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 1
MOG
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 0
RIO
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
PEN
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 1
PEN
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 0
XVD
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 3
PEN
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |