Mogi Mirim vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 0
MOG
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
MOG
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
CRA
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 2
MOG
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 2
CIA
59%
23%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
ITU
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RBB
1 - 1
PEN
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 1
NOR
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |