Mogi Mirim vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 1
PAL
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 1
MOG
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
MOG
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
MOG
0 - 1
SAN
22%
23%
56%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 2
OES
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
BOT
1 - 2
NAU
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
NAU
2 - 2
REM
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
4 - 1
NAU
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 2
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
REM
2 - 3
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |