Mogi Mirim vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
FER
0 - 0
MOG
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
MOG
1 - 0
ATL
41%
23%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 2
MOG
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
CAT
2 - 5
MOG
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MOG
2 - 1
ECN
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MON
2 - 3
BOT
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
RIO
4 - 2
MON
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 0
MON
57%
21%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MON
2 - 2
OES
44%
25%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |