Mogi Mirim vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
MOG
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
MOG
0 - 1
BAR
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MOG
1 - 1
MAN
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
VEL
3 - 1
MOG
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MOG
0 - 1
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
BER
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 0
MAT
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAT
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 2
POR
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |