Mogi Mirim vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MOG
4 - 1
BRA
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
COR
2 - 1
MOG
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MOG
4 - 2
XVD
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
MOG
3 - 0
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 0
MOG
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 1
ITU
49%
23%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 1
SAN
11%
21%
68%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 0
ITU
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 0
ATL
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
ITU
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |