Série D Brazil Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Mogi Mirim vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 2
MOG
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 2
CIA
59%
23%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MET
1 - 2
MOG
36%
26%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
0 - 1
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 0
MOG
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FRI
3 - 1
CRA
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
FRI
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
NEC
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
CRA
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
SOB
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |