Mogi Mirim vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
MOG
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DUQ
3 - 1
MOG
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 0
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
MOG
28%
27%
44%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAX
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CAX
1 - 2
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 0
CAX
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
DUQ
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
CAX
29%
29%
43%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |