Mogi Mirim vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
MOG
3 - 1
ANA
29%
26%
46%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
AMF
4 - 2
MOG
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
REM
3 - 1
MOG
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
MOG
2 - 1
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
MOG
3 - 0
SAM
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
CAX
1 - 2
AMF
29%
27%
45%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
CAX
3 - 1
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 1
CAX
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
CAX
2 - 0
REM
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
PAU
1 - 0
CAX
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |