Mogi Mirim vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
MOG
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MOG
2 - 3
SAN
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MOG
2 - 1
POR
47%
24%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
OES
1 - 0
MOG
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
MOG
1 - 0
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
UNI
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 1
BOT
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 4
FER
49%
23%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
INT
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |