Mogi Mirim vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOG
44%
23%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 2
MOG
30%
23%
47%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
MOG
1 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 2
MOG
92%
6%
2%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
MOG
2 - 0
POR
48%
24%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ATL
4 - 2
RIO
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 2
ATL
90%
8%
2%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ATL
0 - 1
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 1
ATL
96%
4%
1%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ATL
2 - 2
UNI
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |