Mogi Mirim vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
MAD
0 - 0
MOG
38%
25%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
MOG
2 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
POR
0 - 2
MOG
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
MOG
1 - 2
MAD
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
ATL
2 - 2
MOG
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ATL
3 - 1
POR
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
ATL
3 - 0
MAD
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
MAD
1 - 1
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
POR
1 - 0
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
ATL
2 - 2
MOG
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |