Mogi Mirim vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
MOG
2 - 0
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
JEC
3 - 1
MOG
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
MOG
1 - 1
UNI
51%
24%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
REM
6 - 0
MOG
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2003 |
GAM
4 - 3
MOG
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2003 |
POR
4 - 0
CAX
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2003 |
AME
2 - 2
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2003 |
POR
3 - 0
PAU
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |