Mogente vs Monforte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 2
MOG
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MOG
5 - 1
AGU
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
IDE
1 - 2
MOG
39%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
MOG
24%
23%
54%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 1
POB
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
LAL
31%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AYO
3 - 2
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 5
UDC
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
AGU
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |