Mogas 90 vs ASPAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogas 90
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ADJ
1 - 0
MOG
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 1
DRA
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BUF
0 - 1
MOG
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 1
ASO
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
BUF
1 - 0
MOG
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASP
3 - 0
JEU
53%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TON
2 - 0
ASP
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ASP
2 - 1
SEM
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
BUF
1 - 1
ASP
48%
26%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ASP
0 - 1
AVR
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |