Moelven vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
75.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moelven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 7
OTT
18%
19%
64%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GIL
0 - 4
MIL
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 1
RFK
20%
21%
59%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +3 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 1
SIL
19%
21%
61%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
HAM
3 - 2
MIL
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2014 |
LIL
11 - 0
HAM
85%
9%
6%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
SIL
1 - 4
LIL
16%
17%
67%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
RAU
5 - 3
LIL
10%
14%
76%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | -3 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
LIL
6 - 1
SFO
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
GRU
4 - 3
LIL
11%
16%
73%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |