Moeche ADC vs Vilarmaior CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+381%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MEI
2 - 1
MOE
85%
11%
4%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOE
0 - 2
MAN
51%
20%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 1
MOE
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MOE
2 - 4
CEB
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MOE
1 - 1
EUM
38%
21%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vilarmaior CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
5 - 1
VIL
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 8
MEI
5%
13%
82%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
VIL
53%
20%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
EST
4 - 1
VIL
41%
21%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 5
CAP
27%
22%
51%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |