Moeche ADC vs Cebarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
71.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ROS
3 - 2
MOE
76%
14%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MOE
0 - 1
NAR
18%
21%
61%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
NOF
1 - 1
MOE
41%
20%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MOE
3 - 2
CAP
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
XCA
1 - 0
MOE
35%
21%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cebarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CEB
5 - 0
NAR
76%
14%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SAD
1 - 3
CEB
53%
22%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CEB
6 - 0
ESO
90%
7%
3%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MEI
0 - 0
CEB
57%
21%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CEB
3 - 0
BAR
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |