Moeche ADC vs Sdc A Capela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
31.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CEB
2 - 0
MOE
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOE
1 - 1
CUL
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 3
MOE
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MOE
9 - 1
XCA
50%
20%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CEB
2 - 0
MOE
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sdc A Capela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAP
4 - 1
VIL
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
CAP
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
5 - 1
EST
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CCR
2 - 0
CAP
79%
14%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 0
ADM
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |