Modum vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
ODS
4 - 1
MOD
23%
22%
56%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 1
HOL
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GJO
0 - 4
MOD
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 2
NLI
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DBK
0 - 2
MOD
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HON
1 - 3
TRO
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HON
1 - 1
MJO
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 3
HON
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ODD
3 - 2
HON
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
HON
3 - 1
SOG
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |