Modum vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
OST
0 - 2
MOD
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 2
MOD
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 2
DRO
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
FFK
0 - 1
FOL
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 0
RAU
30%
25%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MJO
1 - 1
FOL
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
FOL
4 - 1
MOI
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |