Modum vs Lyn 1896 FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RIL
1 - 0
MOD
11%
18%
71%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MOD
6 - 3
ROA
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LOM
1 - 3
MOD
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 1
MOD
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 3
FFK
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
LYN
1 - 2
VIF
25%
23%
52%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LYN
2 - 2
MJO
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 26 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LYN
6 - 1
VIL
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 11 | 55 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
LYN
2 - 4
STR
40%
24%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LYN
0 - 5
FFK
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |