Modum vs Bærum II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
44.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
3 - 3
MOD
70%
17%
14%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 2
STR
34%
21%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
MOD
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 1
FBK
84%
10%
6%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BIR
0 - 0
MOD
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bærum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
BAE
4 - 0
SKA
62%
17%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
FKT
3 - 0
BAE
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
VIF
3 - 0
BAE
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
BAE
3 - 0
ETO
61%
17%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
STR
1 - 5
BAE
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |