Modum vs Bærum II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
11.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MOD
7 - 1
SKA
69%
16%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
HBK
1 - 1
MOD
24%
22%
55%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
ASK
3 - 3
MOD
41%
22%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 2
VIF
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
2 - 1
MOD
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Bærum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
BAE
6 - 1
VIF
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
LOK
1 - 1
BAE
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
BAE
3 - 3
ODS
51%
20%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
AIF
8 - 0
BAE
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
BAE
2 - 5
JEV
28%
21%
52%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |