Modum vs Bærum II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
ASK
1 - 2
MOD
19%
22%
60%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 1
RAU
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NLI
0 - 3
MOD
13%
20%
68%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MOD
4 - 1
DRA
68%
17%
14%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 1
ULL
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bærum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
BAE
7 - 0
MJO
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2012 |
BAE
2 - 2
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
LYN
2 - 0
BAE
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 64 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
BAE
1 - 4
RIL
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
ROA
3 - 3
BAE
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |