Modum vs Asker II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
VIF
0 - 1
MOD
15%
19%
65%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 2
LOK
74%
15%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 3
HON
12%
17%
72%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
ODS
4 - 1
MOD
23%
22%
56%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -3 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 1
HOL
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Asker II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2014 |
ASK
3 - 4
MJO
28%
21%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
VIF
2 - 1
ASK
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ASK
2 - 3
LOM
23%
19%
57%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAE
3 - 2
ASK
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ASK
5 - 2
SSK
87%
9%
5%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |