Modica vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
GAL
2 - 1
MOD
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 1
VIG
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
LAT
1 - 2
MOD
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 1
FCI
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
REA
0 - 0
SSC
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 0
REA
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
REA
0 - 2
GAL
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
NOC
3 - 2
REA
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
REA
2 - 0
TAR
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |