Modica vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
TUR
3 - 0
MOD
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
4 - 0
HYR
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
MOD
47%
25%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
0 - 1
FOR
21%
25%
55%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 1
MOD
56%
22%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACI
29%
26%
45%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NIS
0 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CIT
2 - 1
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASD
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |