Modica vs Cosenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
RIE
0 - 1
MOD
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
PRO
4 - 1
MOD
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 3
SSC
34%
25%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ASA
0 - 0
MOD
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 1
NOC
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
COS
1 - 0
LAT
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ASA
2 - 1
COS
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
COS
2 - 1
PRO
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SSC
2 - 2
COS
25%
28%
48%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2006 |
COS
1 - 0
GAL
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |