Modica vs Viterbo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
GAL
2 - 1
MOD
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 1
VIG
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
LAT
1 - 2
MOD
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 1
FCI
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
TAR
4 - 1
MOD
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Viterbo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 2
COS
19%
24%
56%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
VIT
3 - 2
SSC
33%
25%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ASA
1 - 0
VIT
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 2
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
REA
2 - 0
VIT
71%
17%
11%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |