Modena U19 vs Varese U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 0
CIT
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 2
ATA
10%
20%
70%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
UDI
5 - 1
MOD
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 1
BRE
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
7 - 1
MOD
80%
15%
6%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
INT
1 - 0
VAR
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 3
MIL
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 2
VAR
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 2
VAR
48%
24%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 0
VER
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |