Modena U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
MOD
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 2
NOV
10%
19%
71%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 0
MOD
74%
17%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 0
PRO
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 1
MOD
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 4
FIO
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAS
1 - 2
SPE
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 2
LIV
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
SPE
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 2
SPE
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |