Modena U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOV
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SAS
6 - 0
MOD
78%
14%
7%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 3
TOR
13%
23%
65%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 2
MOD
82%
13%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
INT
1 - 0
MOD
77%
16%
7%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 0
SIE
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CES
2 - 3
SPE
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 1
BOL
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPE
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |