Modena U19 vs SPAL U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
63.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
9º
6º
33
3º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
5 - 0
MOD
61%
20%
20%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 1
SAM
12%
21%
68%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 0
MOD
89%
9%
3%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MOD
2 - 2
SAS
10%
18%
72%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
5 - 0
MOD
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
UDI
2 - 0
SPA
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 2
VEN
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
SPA
69%
18%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 1
SPA
27%
22%
52%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 3
COM
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |