Modena U19 vs Novara U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
71.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 0
MOD
74%
17%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MOD
0 - 0
PRO
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 1
MOD
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
JUV
7%
15%
78%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
87%
9%
3%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 2
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
NOV
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
GEN
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 1
NOV
28%
24%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 4
NOV
14%
18%
68%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |