Modena U19 vs Genoa U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
70.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRA
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 0
MOD
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 1
CAR
46%
23%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
3 - 0
MOD
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 3
MOD
85%
11%
4%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 1
GEN
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 1
FIO
20%
22%
59%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIR
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
3 - 2
GEN
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 1
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |