Modena U19 vs Fiorentina U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
79.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
MOD
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 1
SAM
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 1
MOD
66%
19%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 1
VIR
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
MOD
89%
9%
3%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 1
GEN
82%
12%
5%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
FIO
15%
20%
66%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
SPE
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 0
BOL
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 3
FIO
17%
20%
62%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |