Modena U19 vs Cittadella U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
9º
6º
35
3º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
VIC
3 - 4
MOD
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MOD
1 - 2
SUD
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MOD
9 - 0
REG
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VIR
3 - 3
MOD
65%
18%
16%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
REG
2 - 1
CIT
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CIT
1 - 2
PAR
16%
20%
64%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VEN
2 - 3
CIT
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CIT
0 - 0
BRE
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FER
1 - 3
CIT
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |