Modena U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SAS
2 - 0
MOD
71%
18%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 5
INT
11%
19%
71%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 1
MOD
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 1
MOD
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MIL
4 - 0
MOD
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CES
1 - 2
BOL
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SAS
3 - 1
CES
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CES
3 - 1
UDI
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |