Modena U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
77%
16%
7%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 3
EMP
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
PCZ
1 - 1
MOD
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SAM
3 - 0
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BOL
5 - 0
MOD
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CES
1 - 2
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CES
0 - 0
TOR
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
SAS
2 - 4
CES
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CES
1 - 3
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
FIO
3 - 2
CES
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |