Modena U19 vs Bologna U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
68.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
5 - 0
MOD
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 4
JUV
7%
14%
79%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
3 - 3
SIE
29%
26%
45%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 0
MOD
82%
13%
5%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 1
EMP
42%
26%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 1
BOL
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOR
24%
27%
50%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |