Modena U19 vs Bologna U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
65.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
5 - 1
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 2
TOR
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 0
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
4 - 0
MOD
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 3
SAS
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 0
PCZ
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FIO
3 - 1
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 3
BOL
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 0
CES
39%
25%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 3
BOL
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |