Modena U17 vs Sampdoria U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
30%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
12º
13º
23
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
EMP
4 - 1
MOD
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MOD
2 - 1
SPE
29%
22%
49%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PIS
3 - 0
MOD
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MOD
0 - 1
SAS
48%
22%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 0
MOD
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SMP
0 - 2
PAR
43%
24%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 0
SMP
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SMP
1 - 4
FIO
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 0
SMP
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SMP
1 - 1
EMP
39%
24%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |