Modena U17 vs Genoa U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
66.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
10º
8º
44
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 0
MOD
71%
17%
13%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PIS
2 - 0
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 2
SPE
16%
17%
66%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 0
MOD
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GEN
5 - 1
PIS
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 5
GEN
11%
16%
73%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 0
GEN
17%
20%
64%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 3
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PIS
0 - 0
GEN
14%
19%
68%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |