Modena vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
23.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEO
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 1
MOD
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
MOD
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 1
SPE
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 1
VIR
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TER
1 - 2
ACD
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 2
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACD
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
ACD
0 - 0
LIV
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |