Serie B relegation play-off Final
Global 3-3
Modena vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 2
MOD
32%
26%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
LAT
1 - 1
MOD
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
57%
26%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 0
MOD
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 2
CAR
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 2
MOD
32%
26%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
CRO
0 - 0
ACD
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 0
LAT
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
LIV
2 - 1
ACD
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
ACD
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |