Modena vs Sassuolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 1
MOD
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 0
LIV
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 1
MOD
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
CRO
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
CTT
2 - 0
MOD
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 0
GRO
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EMP
1 - 1
SAS
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 0
ABN
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
SAS
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 1
PES
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |