Modena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 0
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
MOD
2 - 0
CRO
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 2
MOD
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
SAL
1 - 1
MOD
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
MOD
1 - 1
MES
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
TER
2 - 2
COS
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
TER
2 - 2
MES
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
SIE
0 - 3
TER
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
TER
1 - 1
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
REG
2 - 0
TER
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |